Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Child abuse changes the brain, study finds

ScienceDaily (Dec. 5, 2011) ? When children have been exposed to family violence, their brains become increasingly "tuned" for processing possible sources of threat, a new study reports. The findings, reported in the Dec. 6 issue of Current Biology, a Cell Press publication, reveal the same pattern of brain activity in these children as seen previously in soldiers exposed to combat.

The study is the first to apply functional brain imaging to explore the impact of physical abuse or domestic violence on the emotional development of children, according to the researchers.

"Enhanced reactivity to a biologically salient threat cue such as anger may represent an adaptive response for these children in the short term, helping keep them out of danger," said Eamon McCrory of University College London. "However, it may also constitute an underlying neurobiological risk factor increasing their vulnerability to later mental health problems, and particularly anxiety."

Maltreatment is known to be one of the most potent environmental risk factors associated with anxiety and depression. Still, McCrory said, "relatively little is known how such adversity 'gets under the skin' and increases a child's later vulnerability, even into adulthood."

The new study shows that children with documented exposure to violence in the home differ in their brain response to angry versus sad faces. When presented with angry faces, children with a history of abuse show heightened activity in the brain's anterior insula and amygdala, regions involved in detecting threat and anticipating pain.

McCrory says the changes don't reflect damage to the brain. Rather, the patterns represent the brain's way of adapting to a challenging or dangerous environment. Still, those shifts may come at the cost of increased vulnerability to later stress.

Although the results may not have immediate practical implications, they are nonetheless critical given that a significant minority of children are exposed to family violence, McCrory says. "This underlines the importance of taking seriously the impact for a child of living in a family characterized by violence. Even if such a child is not showing overt signs of anxiety or depression, these experiences still appear to have a measurable effect at the neural level."

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The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Cell Press, via EurekAlert!, a service of AAAS.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.


Journal Reference:

  1. Eamon J. McCrory, St?phane A. De Brito, Catherine L. Sebastian, Andrea Mechelli, Geoffrey Bird, Phillip A. Kelly, Essi Viding. Heightened neural reactivity to threat in child victims of family violence. Current Biology, 2011; 21 (23): R947-R948 DOI: 10.1016/j.cub.2011.10.015

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: This article is not intended to provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/12/111205140400.htm

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Sunday, December 4, 2011

Tree crashes into Rebecca Gayheart's home

Thar she blows! And rather dangerously, at that.

Last night, Los Angeles was struck by powerful Santa Ana winds at speeds that would put freeway limits to shame (we're talking up to 100 mph), and we can count a couple of stars among those who felt the full force of Mother Nature.

Just before 8 p.m. last night, a large eucalyptus tree smashed through the Beverly Hills home of "Grey's Anatomy" star Eric Dane and his heavily pregnant wife Rebecca Gayheart. So what was the damage? And, more importantly, is everyone OK?

MORE: Aww! Check out Eric on daddy duty!

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According to various neighbor accounts, the coupl e-- and their young daughter Billie -- were indeed home at the time of the scary incident, though luckily no injuries were reported.

Per the local CBS affiliate, the more than 30-foot-tall tree was uprooted by a wind burst and smashed through the wall of couple's home, bursting a water pipe and taking out a parked car in the process.

Worst Santa Ana winds in years to move cross-country

Firefighters quickly arrived on the scene and shut off power to the home to ensure that none of the exposed wires sparked up and caused further damage.

Reps for the stars have yet to comment, or even confirm that the duo was home at the time. Stay safe out there!

PHOTOS: Baby Bumpin'

? 2011 E! Entertainment Television, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Source: http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/45509443/ns/today-entertainment/

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Saturday, December 3, 2011

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A community portal about Microsoft Office 2007 with blogs, videos, and photos. According to Wikipedia.org: The 2007 Microsoft Office System, also known as Microsoft Office 2007, is the most recent version of Microsoft's productivity... [more]

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Unemployment rate drops to lowest since 2009

FILE - In this Nov. 14, 2011 file photo, job seekers line up to speak to recruiters during a career expo in Las Colinas, Texas. The unemployment rate fell last month to its lowest level in more than two and a half years, as employers stepped up hiring in response to the slowly improving economy. (AP Photo/LM Otero, File)

FILE - In this Nov. 14, 2011 file photo, job seekers line up to speak to recruiters during a career expo in Las Colinas, Texas. The unemployment rate fell last month to its lowest level in more than two and a half years, as employers stepped up hiring in response to the slowly improving economy. (AP Photo/LM Otero, File)

FILE - In this Nov. 3, 2011 file photo, Maria Aplington, from United Parcel Service, helps Craig Wooten, of Portland, navigate their web site during a hiring event for UPS at WorkSource Oregon, in Portland, Ore. The unemployment rate fell last month to its lowest level in more than two and a half years, as employers stepped up hiring in response to the slowly improving economy. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer, File)

In this Dec. 1, 2011 photo, job seekers attend a career fair in Overland Park, Kan. The unemployment rate fell last month to its lowest level in more than two and a half years, as employers stepped up hiring in response to the slowly improving economy. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

In this Dec. 1, 2011 photo, job seekers attend a career fair in Overland Park, Kan. The unemployment rate fell last month to its lowest level in more than two and a half years, as employers stepped up hiring in response to the slowly improving economy. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

(AP) ? The unemployment rate, which has refused to budge from the 9 percent neighborhood for two and a half frustrating years, fell sharply in November, driven in part by small businesses that finally see reason to hope and hire.

Economists say there is a long way to go, but they liked what they saw.

The rate fell to 8.6 percent, the lowest since March 2009, two months after President Barack Obama took office. Unemployment passed 9 percent that spring and had stayed there or higher for all but two months since then.

The country added 120,000 jobs in November, the Labor Department said Friday. Private employers added 140,000 jobs, while governments cut 20,000.

The economy has generated 100,000 or more jobs five months in a row ? the first time that has happened since April 2006, well before the Great Recession.

"Something good is stirring in the U.S. economy," Ian Shepherdson, an economist at High Frequency Economics, said in a note to clients.

The stock market rallied at the opening bell, after the report came out, but finished flat for the day. It was still up 787 points for the week. The only bigger point gain in a week was in October 2008, when stocks lurched higher and lower during the financial crisis.

The report showed that September and October were stronger months for the job market than first estimated. For four months in a row, the government has revised job growth figures higher for previous months.

September was revised up by 52,000 jobs, for a gain of 210,000. October was revised up by 20,000, for a gain of 100,000.

Unemployment peaked at 10.1 percent in October 2009, four months after the Great Recession ended. It dipped to 8.9 percent last February and 8.8 percent last March but otherwise was at or above 9 percent.

The rate fell not just because people found jobs. About 300,000 people simply gave up looking for work, and were no longer counted as unemployed. People routinely enter and leave the work force, though 300,000 is more than usual.

Obama, who faces a re-election vote in less than a year and a presidential campaign that will turn on the economy, seized on the decline to argue for expanding a cut in the tax that workers pay toward Social Security.

The tax cut affects 160 million Americans. It lowers a worker's Social Security tax by up to $2,136 a year. Someone earning $50,000 a year saves $1,000 with the tax cut. It will expire Dec. 31 unless Congress acts.

Republicans and Democrats have supported an extension but differ on how to pay for it. The Senate on Thursday defeated plans from both parties. Republicans had proposed paying for the cut by freezing the pay of federal workers through 2015. Democrats wanted to raise taxes on people making $1 million or more a year.

"Now is not the time to slam the brakes on the recovery. Right now it's time to step on the gas," Obama said Friday.

Inside the unemployment report, one of the most closely watched indicators of the economy's health, were signs of improvement for small businesses, which employ 500 or fewer people and account for half the jobs in the private sector.

The government uses a survey of mostly large companies and government agencies to determine how many jobs were added or lost each month. It uses a separate survey of households to determine the unemployment rate.

The household survey picks up hiring by companies of all sizes, including small businesses and companies just getting off the ground. It also includes farm workers and the self-employed, who aren't included in the survey of companies.

The household survey has shown an average of 321,000 jobs created per month since July, compared with an average of 13,000 the first seven months of the year.

When the economy is either improving or slipping into recession, many economists say, the household survey does the better job of picking up the shift because it detects small business hiring.

"We might finally be seeing new business creation expand again, which is critical to the sustainability of the recovery," said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial, a financial services company.

The National Federation of Independent Business, a small business group, said Friday that its own survey of small companies in November found that more of them are planning to add workers than at any time since September 2008, when the financial crisis struck.

LogicBoost, a Washington, D.C., software consulting firm with 19 employees, has hired a sales worker and a marketing worker in the past three months and planned to post an opening for a software engineer Friday.

"Business is going gangbusters," CEO Jonathan Cogley said. "It would be great if the economy were stronger. I think we'd be growing even faster."

Outside Detroit, Grace Dersa opened the Frank Street Bakery this week with her husband. They took the $60,000 gamble after seeing signs that the local economy is improving. They, too, plan to add a worker soon.

"When we go to a restaurant here, there's a 30-minute to two-hour wait. Homes are selling in this area," Dersa said. "People are spending."

Indeed, Americans dropped a record $52.4 billion over the Thanksgiving weekend, according to the National Retail Federation, a trade group. A separate report from MasterCard found spending was up almost 9 percent from last year.

The unemployment report was the latest encouraging indicator for the economy. Other reports this week have shown that factories are producing more, construction is growing, and people are buying more cars.

The accelerating debt crisis in Europe has loomed over the economy for months. An economic collapse there would hammer sales of American exports. And if the crisis caused banks to stop lending money, the world economy would suffer.

But there are signs that Europe is moving toward a solution. Earlier this week, six central banks around the world made it easier for commercial banks overseas to borrow American dollars to do business. The coordinated action calmed financial markets and bought time for politicians to work something out.

The leaders of Germany and France appear to be pushing for stronger rules to make sure European governments are responsible with their budgets, the first step in a strategy to save the euro currency from collapse.

European leaders meet next Friday for a crucial summit on the matter.

In the United States, about 13.3 million people are counted as unemployed.

More than half the jobs added last month were by retailers, restaurants and bars. But professional and business services rose by 33,000, and those tend to be higher-paying jobs, such as engineers and accountants. The category also includes temporary jobs, which increased.

The household survey found that the number of unemployed fell by nearly 600,000 last month. About half found jobs, while the other half stopped looking for work. The decline of 600,000 is the biggest since January.

The so-called underemployment rate fell to 15.6 percent from 16.2 percent. That includes three groups: people who are unemployed and looking for work, people who are unemployed and have stopped looking, and people who are working part-time but would rather be working full-time.

But even with the recent gains, the economy isn't close to replacing the jobs lost in the recession. Employers began shedding workers in February 2008 and cut nearly 8.7 million jobs over the next 25 months. The economy has regained about 2.5 million.

And many people aren't getting raises. Average hourly pay slipped 2 cents last month to $23.18. In the past year, wages have risen 1.8 percent, but inflation has risen twice as fast, eroding buying power.

Obama may face voters next fall with the highest unemployment of a sitting president seeking election since World War II. Gerald Ford faced 7.8 percent unemployment when he lost to Jimmy Carter in 1976. Ronald Reagan faced 7.2 percent unemployment in 1984 and trounced Walter Mondale. Unemployment was 7.8 percent when Obama took office in January 2009.

The economy grew at a 2 percent annual rate in July, August and September. Paul Ashworth, an economist at Capital Economics, estimates growth will speed up to 2.5 percent in the last three months of the year, but slow to 1.5 percent in 2012. Ashworth's estimate assumes a recession in Europe, but not a nightmarish collapse of the euro.

___

AP Economics Writer Paul Wiseman contributed to this report.

Associated Press

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/f70471f764144b2fab526d39972d37b3/Article_2011-12-02-Economy/id-6b01e36f998c44fe981c7f5793e3ebc9

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Investing Is Back: What To Expect In 2012 And Beyond | Investing ...

Greetings and Happy Festivus Week! As the holiday season and year-end approaches, I wanted to update you with my view on the current states of markets via my DeMark work and discuss the longer-term view for 2012 and beyond. Beginning in June 2009, and reinforced by the late July 2009 technical DeMark TDST level breakout, an indicator that the market's trend shifted from negative to positive, I've slowly reevaluated my approach to markets, trading and expectations for returns and correlations. Much of this was spelled out in my ?June 3, 2009 article, The Time for Bearishness Has Passed.

Since then I've updated that view three separate times in the past year. In May I warned to Stop Fighting the Last War, and made it clear that I was seeing bullish dispersion in financial markets; in June, in I'm Finished, I discussed the dangers of falling in love with a stucturally bearish and inflexible viewpoint; and more recently, in late October in The Fluidity of Change, I again outlined the reasons I am longer-term bullish.

Nothing has changed. In fact, the more I hear, read and see from market participants, the more bullish I become.

Before I discuss this bullishness more, let's look at DeMark indicators for the indices short and long-term.

SPX
Daily: We are on bar 12 of a DAILY TD Sequential 13 sell signal that requires a high above 1275.92 to record. TDST Down support is at 1151.81.
Weekly: We have a qualified TDST Down break at 1219.50, with a target down of 1144.76.
Monthly: We are on bar 6 down of a potential TD Buy Setup 9, but there is an overlapping TD Sequential 13 sell signal that could potentially record if we get a high above 1327.22 before we reach bar 9 of the Buy Setup. TDST Down support here is 1049.33.

NDX
Daily: Similar to SPX, a high above 2355.78 is necessary to complete a TD Sequential 13 sell signal. TDST Down support is at 2169.57.
Weekly: We are on bar 4 down of a potential TD 9 Buy Setup with TDST Down support at 1854.43.
Monthly: A TD Sequential 13 sell signal recorded in May. We are now more than halfway through it with TDST Down support at 1767.43. That's about 22 percent lower.

RTY:
Daily: Bar 3 up of a potential TD 9 Sell Setup, TDST Up resistance at 841.82.
Weekly: Bar 2 down of potential TD 9 Buy Setup. TDST Down support at 628.48.
Monthly: Bar 5 down of TD ( Buy Setup. TDST Down support at 602.43.

Of the three indexes, the RTY is most bullish. The SPX and NDX have near-term downside risk, but I expect in the worst case for MONTHLY TDST Down levels to hold. With the NDX TDST Down level 22 percent lower the downside risk is apparent, but I view those longer-term TDST levels as low probability.

In all my years of being involved in financial markets, this is the most bearish I have ever seen people in the aggregate. Of course, utilizing Socionomics we anticipated this would be the case years ago. We knew that social mood would drive people to be angry, to view politicians in the worst light, to view the icons of the former bull market with skepticism, envy and even hate, to embrace anti-heroes, become infatuated with zombies and horror, listen to atonal music, find compromise among groups difficult leading to labor strikes in business, government and even sports... I could go on. The point is that everything we have prepared for has arrived. It has happened. We are here.

The domestic economy is presently at risk for stagnation in 2012 and, less probable, a new leg down, while there is a non-trivial probability for an upside surprise. Real GDP year-over-year estimates for 2012 range from 1.2% to a mean of 2.2%. The mean-to-lower range is likely if Congress fails to extend the payroll tax cut and/or unemployment benefits. But given the extreme negative sentiment even a miss below the lower end estimates of 1.2% is already priced in at MONTHLY TDST Down levels mentioned above. If those measures are extended, and if the upper tier of consumers who have been less harmed by economic stagnation surprise in consumption in the present quarter, it is likely those TDST levels are not even tested. Put another way, no one would be surprised by sluggish GDP growth and no one expects an upside surprise.

One of the trending pieces of advice I've read lately is for investors to be "cautious of risk" and "to remain nimble." A large firm put out just such a note yesterday. Leaving aside the fact that brokerage firms certainly have a vested interest in keeping investors "nimble," my view over the next decade is that "nimble" investing is precisely the wrong strategy.

By 2015, we will have had about 17 years of weak equities performance; a pretty good bear market. Buried within that bear market, particularly in the next five years, will be individual stocks making bottoms that will never be seen again in our lifetimes. It is already happening brick-by-brick, stock-by-stock. The probability is that indices as a whole continue to struggle over the next few years as individual components now showing dispersion take their turns bottoming. This process will continue to disguise the origins of the next bull market.

I realize it is difficult for people to grasp their own situations to the extent where they understand that, while social mood in the aggregate is negative, time horizons compressed, risk aversion high, to understand that they should begin lengthening their time horizons, expanding their volatility bands for risk management and anticipating a two- to three-year window where they need to be aggressively accumulating stocks on exogenous shocks (Europe, Asia, energy crises, commodities booms and busts, etc).

In a sense this time period reminds me very much of 1999... inverted. People who are shorting the 3% declines in the market are mirror images of the people who were buying the up 3% momentum moves in 1999 and early 2000. It will work for a while, but the one week it doesn't will wipe out a hundred positive days. I made the decision to stop shorting stocks in March 2009 because I was just like those traders, looking for the final 3% down day. I lost 100 days of performance in a week that month. In hindsight I can see now that short selling is mostly driven by ego and hubris. There are some good short sellers out there, but it's unlikely you are one of them. And now that the cycle is changing, the successful short sellers will become fewer and fewer.

On an individual basis stocks are bottoming. Sectors are transitioning from old leadership (FIRE and Basic Materials) to new leadership (data technology, IT, eventually health care) with individual stocks within those emerging leadership sectors showing relative strength on an early basis versus peers and the broad market. Most at risk in the emerging leadership sectors are the large capitalization-weighted stocks. The least risky are small capitalization stocks that hedge funds have avoided due to high risk aversion and lack of liquidity.

The bottom line: This is not a call to say we have formed a V-bottom or reached a "buy point," although I believe that in 20 years anyone who buys just about anything here will be very glad they did, rather, it's a call to begin extending time horizons, increasing equities allocations and selling bonds. Over the next three to five years velocity in markets will continue to decrease, volume will decrease, interest will continue to wane. Eventually, probably by 2013, certainly by 2015, traders will become bored with the lack of volatility and movement and many will simply give up. The next 20 years will not be a trading environment, it will be an investing environment.

Twitter: @kevindepew

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No positions in stocks mentioned.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

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Source: http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/technical-analysis-stock-market-analysis-tdst/12/1/2011/id/38164

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